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Musings on Money and Development Theory
- Premises:
- Money is an instrument created by human beings for
social development.
- The value of money created is based on the
productivity and wealth of the society, both past and future.
- Every society has unutilized development potential
that is not tapped due to lack of awareness or lack of appropriate
organizational mechanisms.
- Only a small portion of the wealth of any society
is represented by money. Development of new monetary instruments
increases the extent to which a nation’s present and potential wealth can
be monetized and made productive.
- The greater the capacity of the society to assign
present value to future productivity, the more money it can create and
utilize.
- As a social organization, the value and productivity
of money can be enhanced enormously by increasing the “authority”,
systems, coordination and speed of financial transactions.
- Future social productivity is not subject to any
inherent limits (in terms of how far into the future we assign present value
or in terms of the potential increase in future productivity due to
enhanced social capacity). Therefore there is no inherent limit to the
amount of money that a society can create to support its future
development.
- Money is a symbol – a symbol for what human beings
value. The value of land, a commodity, a job or a contract is determined
by people’s perception. Money is a standardized symbol with no inherent
value of its own that is utilized to represent values assigned by people
to goods and services.
- Our approach to development theory identifies human
beings, not money or technology, as the primary determinant of social
advancement. Money and technology are instruments created by society as
tools to enhance social productivity. By facilitating economic
transactions, money increases the frequency, productivity, speed and
convenience of social activities.
In the process of creating and utilizing money as an instrument,
society has come to feel dependent on the instrument it has created.
- Money is a social organization or convention created
by human beings to facilitate economic transactions. Like all
organizations, the organization of money is capable of developing in
complexity and productivity. Enhancing the systems for money transactions,
standardization of its form, improving coordination of financial
activities, and increasing the speed of transactions enhance the
productivity of the social organization of money, increasing money’s
utility and value. Introduction of computer enables financial transactions
to be carried out more rapidly. A manufacturer or retailer can conduct
more transactions per day or year with the same amount of capital, thereby
producing and selling more goods and increasing the productivity of his
money. This has an equivalent effect to creating new money by an expansion
of the money supply.
- Like all organizations, the power of money depends on
the force of its “authority”, people’s acceptance of its power to
represent economic values. The more widely and consistently that authority
is accepted, the greater the public confidence in the money, the greater
its value. Public confidence in money depends on the peace, security,
political and stability of the society that issues it as well as the
society’s productivity, creativity and capacity for innovation. The value
of money reflects the perceived overall strength of the social
organization of the society—its capacity to defend, govern, produce and
provide for the security of its members. Anything that enhances the
perceived strength of that social organization enhances the productive
potential of society and the value of the money it issues. Peace with its
neighbors, law and order, absence of civil strife, improved health, higher
education and freedom of individual action are among the determinants of
currency values. The more confident the society is of its future, the more
it directs its energies in productive activities that build a more
developed society. The loss of confidence in Japan led to social and
economic stagnation at a time when society was steeped in money. Raise the
confidence of Russian society about its future political stability and its
energies will be more constructively invested to accelerate its
development. Putting in place social mechanisms to create greater confidence
(social security, a global army to enforce peace, guaranteed employment
and food security, universal education) will lead to greater development
of society in future.
- The real determinants of the value of money are human
expectations, attitudes and values. When for any reason these rise, the
value of money increases. When for any reason they decline, the value of
money decreases.
- Money exhibits primary, secondary and tertiary powers
to promote social development. A primary power of money is to act as a
medium for storage of surplus value and as a medium for exchange to
facilitate commercial transactions. The creation of money makes it
possible for people to convert their surplus production into a
standardized form that can be preserved indefinitely, easily transported
over great distances, and readily exchanged for other products and
services. Money enhances the productivity of resources by giving them
exchange value. The farmer who produces surplus perishable crops is able
to exchange the surplus for money that can later be redeemed in the form
of other useful products and services. This power of money has multiplied
the number of economic transactions in society millions of times,
expanding markets from the local to the global level.
- A secondary power of money is its capacity to
increase the utilization of social resources. Debt or credit is a
secondary power of money that enables those who have amassed surplus
wealth to lend it to others, either for production or consumption. Two
decades ago, former Citibank Chairman Walter Wriston coined the phrase
“debt is a developer.” The US financed construction of its
transcontinental railways and other productive national assets on the
basis of foreign debt. China has borrowed $130 billion of surplus savings,
much of it from Western nations, and utilized it to generate economic
activity in the country, harnessing the underutilized human resources by
generating tens of millions of jobs to produce infrastructure, products
and services that would otherwise not have been created. Every society has
vast underutilized resources that can be made more productive by creating
new forms of money. Fresh credit for productive purposes extended to the
less advanced sections of society has the greatest impact on national development,
but even the most advanced levels of society can develop further by
creation of additional money.
- A tertiary power of money is derived from its
capacity to represent future productive potential. As a symbol, money was
first used to represent in standardized terms the surplus created by past
human energy, such as a crop of wheat. The amount of money created was
limited by the surpluses human beings produced by their labor above and
beyond what they needed for their own subsistence. As the productivity of
society increased, the amount of money created to represent its
accumulated surpluses increased as well. Over time the creation of money
has been extended to represent the potential surpluses of future human
energy. Banks lend money to medical students to meet the high cost of
education based on their anticipated future earnings after graduation.
- There is no inherent limit to how much future
productivity or how far into the future we assign present value. A bank
which lends money to a medical student to be repaid over ten years, could
by the same principle lend money to any young student to be repaid over 20, 30 or 40 years of
future employment. The greater the society’s confidence in its future
productivity, the longer the period of future productivity that it can
monetize today.
- Money represents a certain portion of the present and
potential wealth of society that is converted into a liquid form, but the
wealth of a society is not confined to that portion that is measured in
monetary terms. Initially the amount of money created was limited to that
which represented readily exchangeable commodities. But as society became
more sophisticated, it created new types of money and new systems to
monetize a greater part of its social wealth. Untapped natural resources,
underutilized productive capacity of land and factories, a young aspiring
population, social skills, scientific knowledge, organizational capacity,
health, peace and social stability are all aspects and determinants of a
society’s real economic wealth.
- Mortgage is a system that enables a person to enjoy
the present use of property ownership based on anticipated future income
and property values. Before the system of mortgage was invented, a farmer
had to be able to invest the total cost of the property he wanted to farm.
With mortgage, he can borrow a large portion of that money, utilizing the
land as security for the loan, and invest the rest of his money in
advanced farm technology to increase production. This enables him to make
the land more productive. The bank that lends the money sells a package of
mortgages (a new form of money) to other investors to raise more money for
lending and then is able to lend a multiple of the value of the capital it
has raised. The mortgage system supports development and fuller
utilization of social resources based on their future productive power.
Securitization of mortgages is a system that creates a larger market for
mortgages and more money by packaging mortgages together and spreading the
risks of default among several shareholders.
- Lease or hire purchase is a system that also creates
money that can be utilized for development. It enables an entrepreneur to
buy a productive asset such as a bus based on the future earning capacity
of that asset. The lease is secured by the asset. The asset becomes
productive. Bus producers have higher sales.
- A nation’s wealth includes not only its present
assets but also its future productive potential. New forms of money are
constantly being created to convert a larger portion of this wealth into
monetary terms. More developed societies convert into money a larger
proportion of the wealth of the society, including its wealth of future
human productivity and creative ideas.
- India’s huge savings in the form of gold has taken hundreds
of billion dollars out of circulation. The government’s new gold bond
scheme enables a gold holder to deposit that gold with a bank in exchange
for interest. The bank can then lend a multiple of the value of the gold
deposit to others. The result is creation of new money by converting a
part of the nation’s unmonetized wealth (gold) into money value.
- Corporate shares can play this role. A new Internet
startup company needing access to high speed telephone lines for its
business but lacking the capital to purchase them could offer to give a
national phone company shares in exchange for use of the phone company’s
surplus line capacity. The startup is able to create new products and
services and the phone company is able to utilize an asset for which there
is insufficient market demand. An entrepreneur who wants to start an
exciting new high tech business, but has insufficient capital, could offer
low salaries plus shares in the business to his new employees as part of
their compensation packages, so he is able to get started with less money.
The shares are a proxy for money, i.e. form of money whose value is based
on the employees’ perception of the future value of the company (the
commercial value of the idea). The new money enables jobs to be created and
new goods and services to be produced.
- Complementary currencies give value to resources that
the national money system does not assign value to, such as the knowledge
and skill of most people in retirement. It is an extension of the monetary
system to tap unutilized social resources and has the potential to grow to
10 or 20% of the total present money supply. The creation of complementary
currency is made possible by the development of new social organization.
For example, a group of under-capitalized, startup web companies could
join together to create a complementary currency. Half of the group
(employers) could offer jobs to underemployed people to provide phone
support and data entry services over the web in exchange for the group’s
e-money. The other half of the group (marketers) could agree to accept the
e-money from the web employees in exchange for the products and services
it offers. The employer group could then sells its services to the
marketer group in exchange for e-money. The new money would enable more
people to be employed and more goods and services to be produced and sold.
- To overcome a projected future shortage of science
lecturers and researchers, a university could create openings for 1000 new
science students and offer scholarships to 1000 science students in
exchange for commitments to work for the university for a minimum of five
years after graduation at salaries that are 10% below market value. The
scholarships become a proxy form of money. They enable students to get an
education they could otherwise not afford. They create more demand for the
university’s current courses. The university in effect ‘loans’ money to
the students in the form of reduced tuition fees, which constitutes a loss
of additional current revenue at some marginal cost to the university, but
not an actual cash outflow equivalent to the value of the scholarships.
- Any group of people with confidence in themselves and
each other can create money. An individual with self-confidence can create
money. A quarter century ago the Garland Canal plan to link the seven
major rivers of India was seriously promoted as a means to dramatically
accelerate national development. The plan would have created tens of
billions of dollars of additional GDP for the country from agriculture,
power generation and cheap inland transport, but Government of India never
took it up because it perceived that the cost in excess of $15 billion was
far beyond its means. Let us consider a possible scenario for financing
the project. The government agrees to “sell” lease rights to public lands
situated along the canal at five times their previous market value (their
value enhanced by access to water transport and irrigation) in exchange
for materials and services needed to build the canal and to raise sufficient
cash to cover the interest charges on the bonds. It is projected that the
canal will stimulate a 10% increase in the country’s GDP and contribute an
addition 10% to the Government’s annual tax revenues, sufficient to retire
the bonds within the ten years. Villagers living along the route of the
canal can offer their labor in exchange for access to water rights from
the canal. The project creates 10 million new jobs and $30 billion of
additional GDP. The increased demand for cement and steel enables the
cement and steel industries to utilize their underutilized capacity. Lands
adjacent to the canal are converted from dry into irrigated fields with
twenty times greater value. Subsidiary activities associated with the
project generate greater production even before the canal is operational.
This development is made possible by the country’s faith in its own
future.
- In sum, societies are largely unaware of their vast
unutilized potential in the form of energy, skills, ideas, creativity,
organizational capacity, etc. When people become aware of their
potentials, they mobilize their energies, skills and resourcefulness to
create their own development. Money comes to support the development
activity in the form of loans or it is created by some organizational
mechanism based on faith in the potential that is being developed.
- We conclude that money, which has been a scarce
commodity throughout history, can be created by society in any quantity
needed to support its further development.
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